Increase in XLM prices observed today: Causes explored
In a remarkable turn of events, the price of Stellar (XLM) has experienced a significant surge in the third quarter of 2025. This uptrend can be attributed to a combination of technical, fundamental, and institutional factors.
Technical Breakout and Bullish Patterns
XLM broke out of a bullish flag and pole pattern, closing above local resistance levels. This technical analysis suggests the path for significant upward movement, with potential targets around $0.60 to $0.70 or higher. Momentum indicators like the RSI and the MACD are bullish, suggesting a "decisive moment" is approaching for Stellar's price [1][3][4].
Rising Trading Volume and Investor Interest
The surge in XLM's price has been accompanied by a remarkable 292% increase in trading volume, indicating strong trader and investor participation fueling the rally [1]. The futures market open interest also reached an all-time high of $589 million with balanced funding rates, signaling readiness for major moves [5].
Accumulation During Prior Consolidation
Large buyers apparently accumulated XLM quietly while the price consolidated between $0.20 and $0.30 earlier in 2025. This was evidenced by a rising spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) during consolidation and a neutral current taker CVD, conditions historically linked to strong rallies [5].
Fundamental Strengths Centered on Cross-Border Payments
Stellar’s focus on low-cost cross-border transfers, low gas fees, and compatibility with fiat payment systems sustains long-term investor optimism and underpins demand for XLM as a valuable utility token [2].
Regulatory Clarity Improving Sentiment
The GENIUS Act and clearer regulations around stablecoins and digital assets have enhanced market sentiment, supporting bullish long-term expectations for Stellar as part of the broader crypto ecosystem growth [3].
Institutional Partnerships and Protocol Updates
Stellar has strengthened its fundamentals in recent weeks, attracting significant institutional partnerships. The network is preparing for a key protocol update (Protocol 23), which could make smart contracts faster and cheaper [6].
This positive sentiment has inspired greater confidence and fueled financial flows towards XLM, as Stellar is a direct competitor to Ripple. The recent agreement between Ripple and the SEC to dismiss their long-standing legal conflict has had a positive effect on the entire digital payments sector [7].
Conclusion
The conclusion of Stellar's price increase today is due to solid technical factors, a favorable regulatory environment, and positive developments at the institutional level. A key resistance level near $0.50 is being closely watched, and some analysts forecast possible breakout levels well beyond $1 if current trends hold [1][2][3][5].
As always, market trends should be analyzed before investing to make informed decisions. For those interested in buying XLM, platforms like Bitget offer a simple guide for purchasing the token [8]. This update could stimulate developer and project interest in the Stellar network, potentially increasing demand for the XLM token.
Gaston Cuny, a writer with a passion for cryptocurrency since 2020, has been sharing his knowledge and findings via the platform.
[1] CoinDesk (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: Can XLM Hit $0.70 in Q3 2025? [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/07/15/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-can-xlm-hit-0-70-in-q3-2025/
[2] Cointelegraph (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Analysis: 07 July [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://cointelegraph.com/news/stellar-xlm-price-analysis-07-july
[3] Forbes (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: Will XLM Reach $1 in Q3 2025? [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.forbes.com/sites/janetwong/2025/07/15/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-will-xlm-reach-1-in-q3-2025/
[4] Investopedia (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: Bullish Outlook for Q3 2025 [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.investopedia.com/news/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-bullish-outlook-q3-2025/
[5] NewsBTC (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Analysis: Strong Bullish Signals as XLM Surges [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/2025/07/15/stellar-xlm-price-analysis-strong-bullish-signals-as-xlm-surges/
[6] Stellar (2025). Stellar Network Protocol 23 [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.stellar.org/developers/stellar-core/documents/protocol-23.html
[7] Cointelegraph (2025). Ripple and SEC Agree to Dismiss Legal Conflict [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://cointelegraph.com/news/ripple-and-sec-agree-to-dismiss-legal-conflict
[8] Bitget (2025). How to Buy Stellar (XLM) on Bitget [Accessed 2025-07-15]. Available from: https://www.bitget.com/help/en/article/10000006408
- The technical breakout from a bullish flag and pole pattern, coupled with high momentum indicators, suggests that Stellar (XLM) could potentially target prices higher than $0.70, benefiting from the surge in trading volume and interest from traders and investors.
- Positive factors such as regulatory clarity, institutional partnerships, and Protocol 23 updates are expected to strengthen Stellar's fundamentals, possibly pushing the XLM price beyond $1 if current trends hold, making it an attractive investment option among crypto enthusiasts.