University of Plymouth's New Tool Tracks Beach Health, Warns of Erosion
The University of Plymouth has developed a revolutionary tool for coastal managers, the ForCE model. This model can track beach health remotely and provide early warnings for erosion and overtopping. Led by Dr. Mark Davidson, this precise model considers tidal, surge, and sea-level rise data to assess beach impacts from climate change.
The ForCE model, with over 80% accuracy, has revealed that beaches in Perranporth, North Cornwall, have not fully recovered from winter storms in 2013/14. This highlights the ongoing threats coastal communities face due to extreme storms and rising sea levels. The model predicts a sea level rise of 0.5m in the next century, putting coastal structures like the Watering Hole bar in Perranporth at risk. The University of Plymouth, a leading authority in coastal engineering, developed this model to help managers plan and protect coastlines.
The ForCE model, a significant advancement in coastal management, can predict beach changes over days to decades. This tool will aid in protecting coastal communities and structures from the impacts of climate change. With sea levels predicted to rise, the model's early warnings will be crucial for coastal managers worldwide.
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